ORA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ORA - Ormat Technologies, Inc.
$129.61
-1.91 (-1.45%)
▼
5d:
+4.84%
30d:
+14.66%
90d:
+4.34%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ORA is up 3.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $100 2026-06-18 with 2,178 OI. Put ratio: 72% View Scanner →
Strength: 3.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: ORA trades at premium valuation expecting 5.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.08
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ORA is currently trading at $129.61, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $109.33 to $123.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 53.3) compared to its historical average (45.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $112.67, while resistance sits at $138.51.
Market Sentiment: ORA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ORA is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $112.67, while resistance sits at $138.51.
Market Sentiment: ORA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$109.33 -
$123.38
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ORA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($133.91)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.8% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$109.33 -
$123.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$112.67
Resistance Level
$138.52
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
53.28
Wall Street Target
$133.91
(+1.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
75.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Profit Margin
11.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.8% premium
PE vs Historical
53.3 vs 45.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$139.15
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$147.22
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$155.76
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 53→45)
PE COMPRESSION
$131.84
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 53.3, Growth: 11.3%)
$181.50
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$75.18
(-43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 11.3%)
$63.90
(-51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 48.78 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.70
Bull Case
$158.81
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 51.2
Base Case
$131.52
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 48.8
Bear Case
$100.61
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 43.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ORA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jessica Woelfel
SELL
136 shares
2026-03-24
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SELL
2359 shares
2026-03-03
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SELL
869 shares
2026-03-02
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