Is ORCL stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, ORCL is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: ORCL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

What is the fair value of ORCL stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for ORCL to be between $147.79 and $183.91. The current price is $195.95.

What is the analyst price target for ORCL?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for ORCL is $242.10. This implies a potential upside of 23.6% from current levels.

ORCL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ORCL - Oracle Corp

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$195.95

1.36 (0.70%) ▲

5d: +14.04%

30d: +42.14%

90d: +37.2%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your ORCL Gains

Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jun 10, 2026 29d

Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ORCL is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 7.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$238.48

Based on 5.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$148.08

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ORCL is currently trading at $195.95, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $147.79 to $183.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.4) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ORCL is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $200.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ORCL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $242.10 (+23.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $147.79 - $183.91

Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+6.5% above its trading range)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 23.6% below Wall St target ($242.10)
NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $147.79 - $183.91

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $160.33

Resistance Level $200.15

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of May 8, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 24.39

Wall Street Target $242.10 (+23.6%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 24.5%

Profit Margin 25.3%

Valuation Premium vs History +3.1% premium

PE vs Historical 24.4 vs 22.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +3.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $202.02 (+3%)

2-Year Target $208.29 (+6%)

3-Year Target $214.74 (+10%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→22) PE COMPRESSION $196.31 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 24.4, Growth: 7.8%) $245.35 (+25%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 7.8%) $220.67 (+13%)

Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 7.8%) $187.57 (-4%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 34.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.57

Bull Case $308.68 (+58%)

Analyst growth 44.2%, PE expands to 38.4

Base Case $280.62 (+43%)

Market implied 44.2%, PE stable at 34.9

Bear Case $132.32 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.7

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

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Last updated: May 11, 2026 7:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:09 AM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Stuart Levey SELL 15000 shares 2026-04-16

Ro Khanna BUY 2026-03-30

Ro Khanna SELL 2026-03-23

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