SCLX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SCLX - Scilex Holding Company Common Stock

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$8.52
-0.17 (-1.96%) β–Ό
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026 13d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SCLX is down 22.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.61
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.18
30.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SCLX is currently trading at $8.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.24 to $13.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.8) compared to its historical average (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 14.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SCLX is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $8.24, while resistance sits at $12.29.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $490.00 (+5538.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $10.24 - $13.62
Company Quality Score 44/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 5538.7% below Wall St target ($490.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -22.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $10.24 - $13.62
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $8.25
Resistance Level $12.30
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 2.79
Wall Street Target $490.00 (+5538.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -26.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -14.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 2.8 vs 4.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -14.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.82 (-10%)
2-Year Target $7.04 (-19%)
3-Year Target $6.34 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3β†’5) $10.20 (+17%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.8 to 4.5
Stabilization Target: $14.00 (+61.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +61.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SCLX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SCLX price and gamma walls.

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