SITE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SITE - SiteOne Landscape Supply, Inc.
$143.54
0.38 (0.27%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SITE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$199.61
Based on 12.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$123.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SITE is currently trading at $143.54, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $128.61 to $147.07. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SITE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $139.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$128.61 -
$147.07
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($155.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$128.61 -
$147.07
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$139.82
Resistance Level
$150.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.60
Wall Street Target
$155.00
(+8.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.1%
Profit Margin
3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
31.6 vs 29.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$146.17
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$149.24
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$152.37
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→30)
PE COMPRESSION
$143.21
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.6, Growth: 20.3%)
$249.15
(+74%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 20.3%)
$175.82
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 20.3%)
$149.45
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (47x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (32x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 46.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.09
Bull Case
$232.85
(+63%)
Analyst growth 46.6%, PE expands to 51.4
Base Case
$211.68
(+48%)
Market implied 46.6%, PE stable at 46.7
Bear Case
$98.18
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 39.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SITE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SITE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SITE price and gamma walls.