CNM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CNM - Core & Main, Inc.
$44.93
-0.48 (-1.06%)
▼
5d:
-6.9%
30d:
-10.99%
90d:
-11.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 10, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CNM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.51
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.88
4.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CNM is currently trading at $44.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.87 to $50.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.60 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CNM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $46.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CNM has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $60.60 (+34.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.87 -
$50.95
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.9% below Wall St target ($60.60)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.9%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.87 -
$50.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.20
Resistance Level
$53.82
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.43
Wall Street Target
$60.60
(+34.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.4%
Profit Margin
5.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$42.82
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$40.81
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$38.89
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$45.06
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$77.80
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 11.5%)
$62.27
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 11.5%)
$52.93
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case
$54.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 9.2%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$49.22
(+10%)
Market implied 9.2%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$30.65
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.07
(+15.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 4:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:56 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CNM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Robyn L Bradbury
SELL
5000 shares
2026-04-17
James D Hope
BUY
1972 shares
2026-04-07
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