SNDK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SNDK - Sandisk Corporation Common Stock
$576.25
36.95 (6.85%)
▲
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 29, 2026
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28 traders called SNDK this week
73% bullish • 12 bearish
73% bullish • 12 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SNDK is 19.1% above fair value ($483.81). Market expects -17.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: SNDK is 19.1% above fair value ($483.81). Market expects -17.8% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1331.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$826.96
30.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SNDK is currently trading at $576.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $270.98 to $483.81. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.7) compared to its historical average (35.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $399.70, while resistance sits at $676.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SNDK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $418.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SNDK is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $399.70, while resistance sits at $676.69. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: SNDK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $418.25. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$270.98 -
$483.81
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.6%
Protect Your Profits
SNDK is technically overbought (RSI 85). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+19.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading 22.4% above Wall St target ($418.25)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 19.1% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$270.98 -
$483.81
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$399.70
Resistance Level
$676.69
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.71
Wall Street Target
$418.25
(-22.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
22.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.5%
Profit Margin
-22.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.7 vs 35.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$485.37
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$436.83
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$393.15
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→35)
$705.98
(+31%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 90.9%)
$2058.93
(+282%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.7, Growth: 90.9%)
$1820.14
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.8, Growth: 90.9%)
$1547.12
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.7 to 35.4
Stabilization Target:
$968.42
(+79.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+79.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SNDK price and gamma walls.
