SPB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SPB - Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc.
$63.71
-0.10 (-0.16%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SPB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$98.48
Based on 8.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$61.15
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SPB is currently trading at $63.71, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $60.51 to $64.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 126.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.04, while resistance sits at $66.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.71 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SPB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.04, while resistance sits at $66.06.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (20th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $77.71 (+21.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$60.51 -
$64.48
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
20th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 20th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.8% below Wall St target ($77.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$60.51 -
$64.48
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.77
(5.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.04
Resistance Level
$66.06
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.75
Wall Street Target
$77.71
(+21.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
126.7%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.8 vs 13.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$63.17
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$62.54
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$61.91
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
$64.12
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 12.7%)
$159.67
(+150%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.7, Growth: 12.7%)
$91.26
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 12.7%)
$77.57
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.85
Bull Case
$89.69
(+41%)
Analyst growth 30.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case
$81.54
(+28%)
Market implied 30.0%, PE stable at 16.3
Bear Case
$42.64
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.7 to 13.2
Stabilization Target:
$66.08
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:38 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:38 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SPB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SPB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SPB price and gamma walls.
