SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$80.92
-1.78 (-2.15%)
▼
5d:
+7.34%
30d:
+6.06%
90d:
+12.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SQM shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.90
Based on 5.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.80
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $80.92, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.17 to $78.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 52.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $86.09.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $69.52, while resistance sits at $86.09.
Market Sentiment: SQM has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$72.17 -
$78.64
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($74.94)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$72.17 -
$78.64
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$69.52
Resistance Level
$86.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.65
Wall Street Target
$74.94
(-7.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.3%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 17.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.55
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$72.42
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$68.51
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→17)
$80.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 7.7%)
$154.17
(+91%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 7.7%)
$101.08
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 7.7%)
$85.91
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.06
Bull Case
$156.55
(+108%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 38.0
Base Case
$142.32
(+89%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.5
Bear Case
$48.39
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.7 to 17.3
Stabilization Target:
$95.54
(+18.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:53 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:53 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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