SQM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SQM - Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA
$76.84
-4.80 (-5.88%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 03, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SQM is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SQM is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$169.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$105.09
26.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SQM is currently trading at $76.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.09 to $82.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.4) is in line with its historical norms (20.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 35.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SQM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$71.09 -
$82.22
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SQM? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($74.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$71.09 -
$82.22
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.20
Resistance Level
$86.13
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.35
Wall Street Target
$74.00
(-9.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
35.8%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 20.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.93
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$78.25
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$76.60
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→21)
$81.55
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 90.6%)
$317.54
(+289%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 90.6%)
$275.53
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 90.6%)
$234.20
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 20.6
Stabilization Target:
$86.91
(+6.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.5%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SQM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SQM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SQM price and gamma walls.
