SR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SR - Spire Inc.
$79.10
1.26 (1.62%)
▲
5d:
-3.98%
30d:
-7.55%
90d:
-14.73%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$169.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$104.96
24.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SR is currently trading at $79.10, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $80.92 to $86.57. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 31.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.56 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SR is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $79.69. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: SR has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $98.56 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$80.92 -
$86.57
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($98.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$80.92 -
$86.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.69
Resistance Level
$87.16
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.22
Wall Street Target
$98.56
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
31.0%
Profit Margin
13.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 15.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.73
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$74.43
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$72.19
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$79.22
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 25.6%)
$241.91
(+206%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 25.6%)
$156.88
(+98%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 25.6%)
$133.35
(+69%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.94
Bull Case
$96.45
(+22%)
Analyst growth 12.6%, PE expands to 17.3
Base Case
$87.68
(+11%)
Market implied 12.6%, PE stable at 15.8
Bear Case
$52.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 15.6
Stabilization Target:
$86.80
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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