SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$96.58
0.70 (0.73%)
▲
5d:
+3.34%
30d:
+0.32%
90d:
+8.99%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
SRE is down 3.8% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $100 2026-05-15 with 1,962 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: SRE shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$129.60
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$80.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $96.58, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $93.24 to $95.78. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.5) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $97.61. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$93.24 -
$95.78
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($102.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with -0.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$93.24 -
$95.78
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$91.16
Resistance Level
$97.61
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.47
Wall Street Target
$102.69
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-48.2%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
17.5 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$96.77
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$96.97
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$97.16
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
PE COMPRESSION
$96.79
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.3%)
$156.87
(+62%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.5, Growth: 8.3%)
$122.60
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$104.21
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (33x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 33.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.75
Bull Case
$201.78
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 36.7
Base Case
$183.44
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 33.4
Bear Case
$62.37
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 9:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dyan Z Wold
SELL
1539 shares
2026-03-16
Jennifer M Kirk
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-12
Cynthia J Warner
BUY
2500 shares
2026-03-11
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