SRE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SRE - Sempra
$87.01
-0.09 (-0.10%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: SRE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$126.09
Based on 7.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$78.29
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SRE is currently trading at $87.01, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.61 to $90.00. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.91, while resistance sits at $92.57.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.40 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SRE is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $83.91, while resistance sits at $92.57.
Market Sentiment: SRE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.40 (+14.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$86.61 -
$90.00
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SRE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.40)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$86.61 -
$90.00
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$83.91
Resistance Level
$92.57
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.08
Wall Street Target
$99.40
(+14.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-88.2%
Profit Margin
15.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.49
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$85.88
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$85.28
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$86.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.6%)
$153.81
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 10.6%)
$117.78
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 10.6%)
$100.11
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.25
Bull Case
$149.82
(+72%)
Analyst growth 56.9%, PE expands to 29.4
Base Case
$136.20
(+57%)
Market implied 56.9%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$59.01
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$88.75
(+1.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SRE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Sagara
SELL
14433 shares
2025-09-29
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-09-25
Kevin C Sagara
SELL
28864 shares
2025-09-15
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