STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$82.41
0.95 (1.17%)
▲
5d:
-1.73%
30d:
+0.16%
90d:
+1.55%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$151.19
Based on 9.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$93.88
12.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $82.41, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.70 to $83.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 58.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $84.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: STRA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.00 (+16.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$77.70 -
$83.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($95.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$77.70 -
$83.48
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.60
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$79.36
Resistance Level
$84.71
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.12
Wall Street Target
$95.00
(+16.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
58.1%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 12.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$76.90
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$72.59
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$68.53
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$81.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.9%)
$273.41
(+236%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 14.9%)
$123.56
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 14.9%)
$105.03
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.41
Bull Case
$132.07
(+58%)
Analyst growth 48.7%, PE expands to 16.4
Base Case
$120.06
(+43%)
Market implied 48.7%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$54.89
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$96.56
(+18.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 12:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lizette Benedi Herraiz
SELL
7598 shares
2026-03-13
Robert S Silberman
BUY
718 shares
2026-03-13
Daniel Wayne Jackson
SELL
13000 shares
2026-03-02
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