STRA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRA - Strategic Education, Inc. Common Stock
$85.02
0.46 (0.54%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: STRA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$113.94
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$70.75
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRA is currently trading at $85.02, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $81.48 to $85.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $87.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.67 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRA is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $87.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $101.67 (+19.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$81.48 -
$85.37
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
32th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($101.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$81.48 -
$85.37
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.71
(4.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.78
Resistance Level
$87.38
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.23
Wall Street Target
$101.67
(+19.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.6%
Profit Margin
9.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
13.2 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.04
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$87.07
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$88.12
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$85.26
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$188.40
(+122%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$111.76
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.2, Growth: 9.5%)
$95.00
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.81
Bull Case
$123.91
(+46%)
Analyst growth 33.6%, PE expands to 19.3
Base Case
$112.65
(+33%)
Market implied 33.6%, PE stable at 17.5
Bear Case
$57.33
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Daniel Wayne Jackson
BUY
1900 shares
2025-08-29
G Thomas Waite III
SELL
700 shares
2025-08-26
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's STRA price and gamma walls.