SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$64.94
-1.17 (-1.77%)
▼
5d:
+0.37%
30d:
+13.65%
90d:
+45.93%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
SU is up 5.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $55 2026-04-17 with 3,859 OI. Put ratio: 61% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SU is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: SU is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.29
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $64.94, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $56.71 to $64.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.3) is in line with its historical norms (12.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.37, while resistance sits at $67.76.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $57.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $61.37, while resistance sits at $67.76.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $57.67. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$56.71 -
$64.05
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding SU? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 11.2% above Wall St target ($57.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$56.71 -
$64.05
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$61.37
Resistance Level
$67.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.30
Wall Street Target
$57.67
(-11.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
87.6%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
13.3 vs 12.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$66.56
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$68.23
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$69.93
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$64.68
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$139.54
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$83.03
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$70.57
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.53
Bull Case
$94.27
(+49%)
Analyst growth 34.5%, PE expands to 19.9
Base Case
$85.70
(+36%)
Market implied 34.5%, PE stable at 18.1
Bear Case
$43.32
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 8:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced SU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
