SU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SU - Suncor Energy, Inc.
$52.97
-0.72 (-1.34%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SU trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: SU trades at premium valuation expecting 9.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.83
Based on -9.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SU is currently trading at $52.97, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.23 to $50.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.4) compared to its historical average (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.98, while resistance sits at $54.80.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $48.98, while resistance sits at $54.80.
Market Sentiment: SU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$44.23 -
$50.97
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
SU is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($50.09)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.3% growth with -2.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$44.23 -
$50.97
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.99
Resistance Level
$54.80
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.38
Wall Street Target
$50.09
(-6.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.9%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.3% premium
PE vs Historical
15.4 vs 11.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$58.68
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$64.14
(+20%)
3-Year Target
$70.11
(+31%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.80
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -22.3%)
$56.76
(+6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.4, Growth: -22.3%)
$39.14
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.8, Growth: -22.3%)
$30.03
(-44%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.15
Bull Case
$64.62
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.8%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$58.74
(+11%)
Market implied 10.8%, PE stable at 16.8
Bear Case
$36.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SU price and gamma walls.
