SWX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWX - Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.
$89.01
0.99 (1.12%)
▲
5d:
+0.33%
30d:
+0.33%
90d:
+1.14%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When SWX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SWX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$144.05
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$89.44
0.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWX is currently trading at $89.01, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $86.89 to $89.82. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.2) is in line with its historical norms (18.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWX is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $89.51. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: SWX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $99.25 (+11.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$86.89 -
$89.82
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($99.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$86.89 -
$89.82
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.47
Resistance Level
$89.51
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.20
Wall Street Target
$99.25
(+11.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-21.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Profit Margin
26.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.2 vs 18.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.94
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$86.89
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$85.84
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→19)
$89.12
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 14.7%)
$161.73
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.2, Growth: 14.7%)
$134.31
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.5, Growth: 14.7%)
$114.17
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.67 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.30
Bull Case
$143.46
(+61%)
Analyst growth 48.2%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$130.42
(+47%)
Market implied 48.2%, PE stable at 26.7
Bear Case
$59.85
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.2 to 18.9
Stabilization Target:
$92.41
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 6:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Utilities - Regulated Gas Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Utilities - Regulated Gas by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
NI
NiSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
17 analysts |
$51 | 61 BUY |
|
ATO
Atmos Energy Corporation |
HOLD
15 analysts |
$186 | 58 HOLD |
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 47 HOLD |
|
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities Cor… |
BUY
7 analysts |
$146 | 60 HOLD |
|
NJR
NewJersey Resources Corp… |
BUY
8 analysts |
$60 | 53 HOLD |
