TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$25.24
-0.39 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
-2.96%
30d:
-16.86%
90d:
-18.29%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TDC is down 5.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-05-15 with 170 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: TDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: TDC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.03
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.48
0.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $25.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.85 to $29.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.0) compared to its historical average (11.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 56.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.73 (+41.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $24.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.73 (+41.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$25.85 -
$29.52
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding TDC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($35.73)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$25.85 -
$29.52
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.52
Resistance Level
$27.49
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.98
Wall Street Target
$35.73
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
56.0%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.0 vs 11.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.45
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$21.78
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$20.24
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$25.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.9%)
$76.76
(+204%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.0, Growth: 6.9%)
$30.85
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.6, Growth: 6.9%)
$26.22
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.87 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.35
Bull Case
$59.03
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$53.66
(+99%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$18.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.0 to 11.2
Stabilization Target:
$31.47
(+24.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:28 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gianoni
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-24
Lake Lp Lynrock
SELL
61990 shares
2026-02-11
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