TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$28.52
-0.31 (-1.08%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 10, 2026
9d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TDC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.02
Based on 3.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.37
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $28.52, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.50 to $31.17. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.6) is in line with its historical norms (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 27.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $28.29. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$29.50 -
$31.17
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($28.82)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.50 -
$31.17
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.29
Resistance Level
$31.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.57
Wall Street Target
$28.82
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.3%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.6 vs 12.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.51
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$28.20
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$27.89
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
$28.92
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 3.6%)
$61.77
(+114%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.6, Growth: 3.6%)
$32.06
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 3.6%)
$27.25
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.54 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.21
Bull Case
$65.32
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 27.0
Base Case
$59.38
(+108%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 24.5
Bear Case
$20.19
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.6 to 12.0
Stabilization Target:
$29.89
(+3.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.7%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TDC price and gamma walls.
