FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$114.07
6.10 (5.65%)
▲
5d:
+32.19%
30d:
+41.42%
90d:
+37.83%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
FTNT is up 32.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $80 2026-06-18 with 7,548 OI. Put ratio: 64% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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2 traders called FTNT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FTNT is 22.6% above its trading range ($93.07). Market expects 9.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FTNT is 22.6% above its trading range ($93.07). Market expects 9.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$108.04
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$67.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $114.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.55 to $93.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.9) compared to its historical average (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.69. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $112.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $95.69. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.55 -
$93.07
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
FTNT is technically overbought (RSI 84). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+22.6% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.6%)
- BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($95.69)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 9.2% growth with 14.8% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 22.6% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.55 -
$93.07
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.44
Resistance Level
$112.39
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.93
Wall Street Target
$95.69
(-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.2% premium
PE vs Historical
33.9 vs 26.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$124.56
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$136.02
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$148.54
(+30%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$113.84
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$136.88
(+20%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 6.3%)
$88.52
(-22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 6.3%)
$75.24
(-34%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 44.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.42
Bull Case
$165.02
(+45%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 49.1
Base Case
$150.02
(+32%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 44.6
Bear Case
$73.42
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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Advanced FTNT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.
