FTNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FTNT - Fortinet, Inc.
$121.86
4.17 (3.54%)
▲
5d:
+12.86%
30d:
+53.01%
90d:
+44.62%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
FTNT is up 12.9% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $87.5 2026-06-18 with 7,552 OI. Put ratio: 60% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.5/10
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3 traders called FTNT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FTNT is 17.7% above its trading range ($103.50). Market expects 10.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: FTNT is 17.7% above its trading range ($103.50). Market expects 10.5% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.96
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$72.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FTNT is currently trading at $121.86, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.08 to $103.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.6) compared to its historical average (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $106.47. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FTNT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $120.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: FTNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $106.47. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$77.08 -
$103.50
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.7%
Protect Your Profits
FTNT is technically overbought (RSI 85). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+17.7% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($106.47)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.5% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 17.7% overvaluation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.08 -
$103.50
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$84.97
Resistance Level
$120.48
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.56
Wall Street Target
$106.47
(-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.6%
Profit Margin
27.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.5% premium
PE vs Historical
35.6 vs 26.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$134.66
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$148.79
(+22%)
3-Year Target
$164.42
(+35%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.6, Growth: 8.5%)
$155.77
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 8.5%)
$96.56
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$82.07
(-33%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (46x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.58
Bull Case
$171.97
(+41%)
Analyst growth 32.8%, PE expands to 50.2
Base Case
$156.34
(+28%)
Market implied 32.8%, PE stable at 45.6
Bear Case
$80.03
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:47 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FTNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
4
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-24
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-02-17
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's FTNT price and gamma walls.
