TDC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TDC - TERADATA CORPORATION
$33.81
0.35 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
+7.03%
30d:
+26.3%
90d:
+0.74%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
TDC is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-07-17 with 214 OI. Call ratio: 89% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TDC is 10.1% above its trading range ($30.72). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: TDC is 10.1% above its trading range ($30.72). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.73
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TDC is currently trading at $33.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.39 to $30.72. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TDC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $34.03. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TDC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.39 -
$30.72
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
TDC is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.44)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.39 -
$30.72
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.87
Resistance Level
$34.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.79
Wall Street Target
$33.44
(-1.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
671.1%
Profit Margin
24.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.8 vs 10.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.82
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$35.87
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$36.95
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$33.85
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.3%)
$80.41
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.8, Growth: 8.3%)
$42.94
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.0, Growth: 8.3%)
$36.50
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.37
Bull Case
$24.16
(-29%)
Analyst growth -34.4%, PE expands to 8.4
Base Case
$21.97
(-35%)
Market implied -34.4%, PE stable at 7.7
Bear Case
$22.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 6:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TDC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael P Gianoni
SELL
25000 shares
2026-02-24
Lake Lp Lynrock
SELL
61990 shares
2026-02-11
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TDC price and gamma walls.
