Target Price Playground
ABBV
$207.94
๐ข
ABBV IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 49.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $210 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ 0.51
SHORT CALL ยท $225 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.67 ยท ฮ 0.33
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ABBV hits $235 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,047 (230.9%) on $453 risked, vs +$2,706 (13.0%) for 100 shares on $20,794. Options give 17.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ABBV is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ABBV hits $235 by Jun 19
+$1,047
+230.9% on $453 risked
Max Profit
+$1,047
If the stock โฅ $225 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$453
Net debit
Break-even
$214.53
+3.17% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
18.15 / -0.14 / 3.1
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ABBV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $166 (-20%) | -$415 | -$439 | -$452 | -$453 |
| $177 (-15%) | -$355 | -$403 | -$444 | -$453 |
| $187 (-10%) | -$249 | -$315 | -$402 | -$453 |
| $198 (-5%) | -$95 | -$158 | -$272 | -$453 |
| $204 (-2%) | +$17 | -$33 | -$132 | -$453 |
| $208 (0%) โ spot | +$97 | +$61 | -$16 | -$453 |
| $212 (+2%) | +$180 | +$160 | +$115 | -$243 |
| $218 (+5%) | +$304 | +$310 | +$321 | +$381 |
| $229 (+10%) | +$499 | +$545 | +$636 | +$1,047 |
| $235 (+13%) โ target | +$604 | +$666 | +$781 | +$1,047 |
| $239 (+15%) | +$665 | +$735 | +$855 | +$1,047 |
| $250 (+20%) | +$794 | +$868 | +$971 | +$1,047 |
Uses ABBV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.