Target Price Playground
ABBV
$207.94
๐ข
ABBV IV: 32.0% โ LOW
(-34.7% vs 30d avg of 49.1%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $235 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $210 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.2 ยท ฮ 0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ABBV hits $235 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,480 (145.1%) on $1,020 risked, vs +$2,706 (13.0%) for 100 shares on $20,794. Options give 11.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ABBV is at $235. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ABBV hits $235 by Jun 19
+$1,480
+145.1% on $1,020 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,020
Premium paid
Break-even
$220.20
+5.9% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
34%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
50.85 / -8.56 / 35.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ABBV Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $166 (-20%) | -$967 | -$1,004 | -$1,019 | -$1,020 |
| $177 (-15%) | -$873 | -$956 | -$1,011 | -$1,020 |
| $187 (-10%) | -$686 | -$828 | -$962 | -$1,020 |
| $198 (-5%) | -$370 | -$568 | -$798 | -$1,020 |
| $204 (-2%) | -$108 | -$330 | -$604 | -$1,020 |
| $208 (0%) โ spot | +$97 | -$134 | -$424 | -$1,020 |
| $212 (+2%) | +$326 | +$92 | -$204 | -$810 |
| $218 (+5%) | +$714 | +$483 | +$201 | -$186 |
| $229 (+10%) | +$1,462 | +$1,257 | +$1,032 | +$853 |
| $235 (+13%) โ target | +$1,965 | +$1,782 | +$1,599 | +$1,480 |
| $239 (+15%) | +$2,314 | +$2,147 | +$1,989 | +$1,893 |
| $250 (+20%) | +$3,241 | +$3,110 | +$3,002 | +$2,933 |
Uses ABBV's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.