Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $35 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.89 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $37 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.56 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $35 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$167 (126.4%) on $133 risked, vs $-489 (-12.3%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 10.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $35. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $35 by Jun 19
+$167
+126.4% on $133 risked
Max Profit
+$167
If the stock โค $37 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$133
Net debit
Break-even
$38.67
-3.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-15.49 / -0.19 / 0.86
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | +$120 | +$133 | +$152 | +$167 |
| $34 (-15%) | +$94 | +$106 | +$129 | +$167 |
| $35 (-12%) โ target | +$78 | +$88 | +$109 | +$167 |
| $36 (-10%) | +$64 | +$72 | +$89 | +$167 |
| $38 (-5%) | +$31 | +$33 | +$36 | +$77 |
| $39 (-2%) | +$12 | +$9 | +$4 | -$42 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$6 | -$17 | -$122 |
| $41 (+2%) | -$13 | -$21 | -$37 | -$133 |
| $42 (+5%) | -$30 | -$41 | -$62 | -$133 |
| $44 (+10%) | -$55 | -$69 | -$94 | -$133 |
| $46 (+15%) | -$76 | -$91 | -$114 | -$133 |
| $48 (+20%) | -$92 | -$107 | -$124 | -$133 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.