Target Price Playground

Templates Custom Builder
ACIW
$39.89
๐ŸŸข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ€” LOW (-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ€” good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection If price hits $42 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest Coming soon
Signal Backtest Coming soon

๐Ÿ“‹ Strategy

Long Stock Long Call Long Put Bull Call Spread Bear Put Spread Covered Call Protective Put Cash-Secured Put Diagonal Put Spread Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.

๐ŸŽฏ Target

67d from today

โš™๏ธ Legs

SHORT PUT ยท $37 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.56 ยท ฮ” -0.3
P&L at Expiry Now $40 Target $42 $28 $40 $52
Stock (100 sh) Cash-Secured Put Now Target
๐Ÿ’ก Stock vs Options at Target

If ACIW hits $42 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$156 (4.4%) on $-156 credit (max loss $3,544), vs +$211 (5.3%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 0.8ร— capital efficiency.

๐Ÿ“… Expiry

Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $42. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.

๐Ÿ“Š Projected Return

P&L if ACIW hits $42 by Jun 19
+$156
+4.4% on $3,544 max loss
Max Profit
+$156
If the stock โ‰ฅ $37 at expiry
Max Loss
โˆ’$3,544
If stock โ†’ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$35.44
-11.16% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
78%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ” / ฮ˜ / V
29.59 / 1.78 / -5.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐Ÿ’พ Log in to save ๐Ÿ“Š My Saved Strategies

๐Ÿ“‹ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)

Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ€” ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โ‰ฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.

๐Ÿ“Š P&L Scenarios โ€” what happens at different prices and dates

ACIW Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$32 (-20%) -$409 -$384 -$359 -$353
$34 (-15%) -$272 -$236 -$193 -$153
$36 (-10%) -$159 -$116 -$59 +$46
$38 (-5%) -$69 -$23 +$36 +$156
$39 (-2%) -$25 +$19 +$76 +$156
$40 (0%) โ† spot -$0 +$43 +$96 +$156
$41 (+2%) +$22 +$63 +$112 +$156
$42 (+5%) โ† target +$53 +$90 +$130 +$156
$44 (+10%) +$86 +$116 +$145 +$156
$46 (+15%) +$111 +$134 +$152 +$156
$48 (+20%) +$127 +$144 +$155 +$156
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.