Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $43 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $39.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $43 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.92 ยท ฮ 0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $43 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$503 (13.2%) on $3,797 risked, vs +$311 (7.8%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $43. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $43 by Jun 19
+$503
+13.2% on $3,797 risked
Max Profit
+$503
If the stock โฅ $43 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$3,797
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$37.97
-4.81% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
68%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
60.22 / 2.34 / -6.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | -$625 | -$612 | -$606 | -$606 |
| $34 (-15%) | -$445 | -$423 | -$409 | -$406 |
| $36 (-10%) | -$280 | -$246 | -$217 | -$207 |
| $38 (-5%) | -$130 | -$85 | -$37 | -$7 |
| $39 (-2%) | -$50 | +$2 | +$61 | +$112 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$55 | +$121 | +$192 |
| $41 (+2%) | +$47 | +$105 | +$177 | +$272 |
| $42 (+5%) | +$110 | +$172 | +$250 | +$391 |
| $43 (+8%) โ target | +$163 | +$226 | +$307 | +$503 |
| $44 (+10%) | +$200 | +$264 | +$345 | +$503 |
| $46 (+15%) | +$271 | +$334 | +$409 | +$503 |
| $48 (+20%) | +$327 | +$384 | +$449 | +$503 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.