Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $38 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $40 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.38 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $38 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.95 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $38 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$154 (107.3%) on $143 risked, vs $-189 (-4.7%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 22.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $38. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $38 by Jun 19
+$154
+107.3% on $143 risked
Max Profit
+$148
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$140
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$41.05
+2.91% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.31 / 0.28 / 1.72
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | +$46 | +$53 | +$58 | +$49 |
| $34 (-15%) | +$41 | +$51 | +$64 | +$63 |
| $36 (-10%) | +$32 | +$43 | +$62 | +$93 |
| $38 (-5%) โ target | +$17 | +$27 | +$47 | +$154 |
| $39 (-2%) | +$8 | +$17 | +$34 | +$90 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$8 | +$22 | +$50 |
| $41 (+2%) | -$7 | -$1 | +$9 | +$15 |
| $42 (+5%) | -$19 | -$16 | -$12 | -$29 |
| $44 (+10%) | -$39 | -$41 | -$46 | -$80 |
| $46 (+15%) | -$58 | -$64 | -$76 | -$111 |
| $48 (+20%) | -$75 | -$84 | -$99 | -$127 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.