Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $35 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.89 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $35 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$211 (73.3%) on $289 risked, vs $-489 (-12.3%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 6.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $35. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $35 by Jun 19
+$211
+73.3% on $289 risked
Max Profit
+$3,711
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$289
Premium paid
Break-even
$37.11
-6.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.08 / -1.97 / 6.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | +$529 | +$517 | +$512 | +$520 |
| $34 (-15%) | +$366 | +$342 | +$322 | +$320 |
| $35 (-12%) โ target | +$285 | +$255 | +$224 | +$211 |
| $36 (-10%) | +$223 | +$188 | +$148 | +$121 |
| $38 (-5%) | +$100 | +$56 | -$0 | -$79 |
| $39 (-2%) | +$37 | -$10 | -$72 | -$198 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$49 | -$113 | -$278 |
| $41 (+2%) | -$35 | -$84 | -$148 | -$289 |
| $42 (+5%) | -$80 | -$128 | -$191 | -$289 |
| $44 (+10%) | -$141 | -$186 | -$239 | -$289 |
| $46 (+15%) | -$187 | -$225 | -$266 | -$289 |
| $48 (+20%) | -$220 | -$251 | -$279 | -$289 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.