Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $45 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $39.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $45 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$511 (12.8%) on $3,989 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $45 by Jun 19
+$511
+12.8% on $3,989 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$3,989
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$39.89
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | -$798 | -$798 | -$798 |
| $34 (-15%) | -$598 | -$598 | -$598 |
| $36 (-10%) | -$399 | -$399 | -$399 |
| $38 (-5%) | -$199 | -$199 | -$199 |
| $39 (-2%) | -$80 | -$80 | -$80 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $41 (+2%) | +$80 | +$80 | +$80 |
| $42 (+5%) | +$199 | +$199 | +$199 |
| $44 (+10%) | +$399 | +$399 | +$399 |
| $45 (+13%) โ target | +$511 | +$511 | +$511 |
| $46 (+15%) | +$598 | +$598 | +$598 |
| $48 (+20%) | +$798 | +$798 | +$798 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.