Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $44 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $39.89 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $38 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.95 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $44 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$216 (5.2%) on $4,184 risked, vs +$411 (10.3%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $44. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $44 by Jun 19
+$216
+5.2% on $4,184 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$384
Put floors you at $38
Break-even
$41.84
+4.89% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.36 / -1.88 / 6.31
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | -$347 | -$368 | -$385 | -$384 |
| $34 (-15%) | -$294 | -$326 | -$362 | -$384 |
| $36 (-10%) | -$219 | -$260 | -$313 | -$384 |
| $38 (-5%) | -$120 | -$166 | -$227 | -$384 |
| $39 (-2%) | -$51 | -$97 | -$158 | -$275 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$46 | -$105 | -$195 |
| $41 (+2%) | +$54 | +$9 | -$47 | -$115 |
| $42 (+5%) | +$139 | +$97 | +$48 | +$4 |
| $44 (+10%) โ target | +$305 | +$270 | +$234 | +$216 |
| $46 (+15%) | +$463 | +$435 | +$411 | +$403 |
| $48 (+20%) | +$642 | +$621 | +$606 | +$603 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.