Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $46 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
LONG PUT ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $2.89 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $46 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns +$1 (0.2%) on $599 risked, vs +$611 (15.3%) for 100 shares on $3,989.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $46. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $46 by Jun 19
+$1
+0.2% on $599 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$599
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$34.01
-14.74% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
9.84 / -4.43 / 13.53
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | +$260 | +$226 | +$205 | +$210 |
| $34 (-15%) | +$135 | +$77 | +$24 | +$10 |
| $36 (-10%) | +$47 | -$33 | -$124 | -$189 |
| $38 (-5%) | +$2 | -$96 | -$220 | -$389 |
| $39 (-2%) | -$4 | -$109 | -$245 | -$508 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$107 | -$247 | -$588 |
| $41 (+2%) | +$11 | -$97 | -$238 | -$530 |
| $42 (+5%) | +$40 | -$68 | -$204 | -$411 |
| $44 (+10%) | +$117 | +$17 | -$100 | -$211 |
| $46 (+15%) โ target | +$233 | +$147 | +$57 | +$1 |
| $48 (+20%) | +$359 | +$286 | +$219 | +$188 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.