Target Price Playground
ACIW
$39.89
๐ข
ACIW IV: 38.2% โ LOW
(-44.9% vs 30d avg of 69.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $45 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $40 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACIW hits $45 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$190 (61.0%) on $310 risked, vs +$511 (12.8%) for 100 shares on $3,989. Options give 4.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACIW is at $45. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACIW hits $45 by Jun 19
+$190
+61.0% on $310 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$310
Premium paid
Break-even
$43.10
+8.06% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
54.92 / -2.46 / 6.77
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACIW Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $32 (-20%) | -$269 | -$291 | -$307 | -$310 |
| $34 (-15%) | -$231 | -$265 | -$297 | -$310 |
| $36 (-10%) | -$175 | -$221 | -$272 | -$310 |
| $38 (-5%) | -$98 | -$153 | -$220 | -$310 |
| $39 (-2%) | -$42 | -$100 | -$173 | -$310 |
| $40 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$59 | -$134 | -$310 |
| $41 (+2%) | +$46 | -$13 | -$89 | -$241 |
| $42 (+5%) | +$120 | +$61 | -$13 | -$122 |
| $44 (+10%) | +$258 | +$203 | +$139 | +$78 |
| $45 (+13%) โ target | +$343 | +$291 | +$234 | +$190 |
| $46 (+15%) | +$412 | +$363 | +$312 | +$277 |
| $48 (+20%) | +$579 | +$537 | +$498 | +$477 |
Uses ACIW's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.