Target Price Playground
ACN
$179.53
๐ข
ACN IV: 42.8% โ LOW
(-34.5% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $160 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $180 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.9 ยท ฮ -0.46
SHORT PUT ยท $165 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.8 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACN hits $160 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$890 (145.9%) on $610 risked, vs $-1,953 (-10.9%) for 100 shares on $17,953. Options give 13.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACN is at $160. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACN hits $160 by Jun 19
+$890
+145.9% on $610 risked
Max Profit
+$890
If the stock โค $165 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$610
Net debit
Break-even
$173.90
-3.14% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-16.41 / -0.9 / 5.06
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $144 (-20%) | +$653 | +$720 | +$816 | +$890 |
| $153 (-15%) | +$520 | +$582 | +$693 | +$890 |
| $160 (-11%) โ target | +$392 | +$436 | +$526 | +$890 |
| $171 (-5%) | +$197 | +$201 | +$213 | +$335 |
| $176 (-2%) | +$97 | +$80 | +$46 | -$204 |
| $180 (0%) โ spot | +$33 | +$3 | -$59 | -$563 |
| $183 (+2%) | -$29 | -$71 | -$157 | -$610 |
| $189 (+5%) | -$116 | -$173 | -$284 | -$610 |
| $197 (+10%) | -$243 | -$315 | -$437 | -$610 |
| $206 (+15%) | -$345 | -$420 | -$528 | -$610 |
| $215 (+20%) | -$425 | -$494 | -$575 | -$610 |
Uses ACN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.