Target Price Playground
ACN
$179.53
๐ข
ACN IV: 42.9% โ LOW
(-34.3% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $195 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $179.53 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $195 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.7 ยท ฮ 0.37
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACN hits $195 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$2,317 (13.5%) on $17,183 risked, vs +$1,547 (8.6%) for 100 shares on $17,953. Options give 1.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACN is at $195. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACN hits $195 by Jun 19
+$2,317
+13.5% on $17,183 risked
Max Profit
+$2,317
If the stock โฅ $195 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$17,183
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$171.83
-4.29% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
62.79 / 9.95 / -27.69
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $144 (-20%) | -$2,889 | -$2,843 | -$2,822 | -$2,821 |
| $153 (-15%) | -$2,070 | -$1,984 | -$1,931 | -$1,923 |
| $162 (-10%) | -$1,307 | -$1,171 | -$1,058 | -$1,025 |
| $171 (-5%) | -$617 | -$428 | -$234 | -$128 |
| $176 (-2%) | -$243 | -$24 | +$221 | +$411 |
| $180 (0%) โ spot | -$12 | +$225 | +$502 | +$770 |
| $183 (+2%) | +$204 | +$456 | +$762 | +$1,129 |
| $189 (+5%) | +$500 | +$770 | +$1,109 | +$1,668 |
| $195 (+9%) โ target | +$813 | +$1,094 | +$1,453 | +$2,317 |
| $197 (+10%) | +$920 | +$1,203 | +$1,563 | +$2,317 |
| $206 (+15%) | +$1,254 | +$1,532 | +$1,872 | +$2,317 |
| $215 (+20%) | +$1,512 | +$1,769 | +$2,061 | +$2,317 |
Uses ACN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.