Target Price Playground
ACN
$179.53
๐ข
ACN IV: 42.8% โ LOW
(-34.5% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $170 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $180 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $14.78 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.53 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACN hits $170 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$855 (162.9%) on $525 risked, vs $-953 (-5.3%) for 100 shares on $17,953. Options give 30.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACN is at $170. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACN hits $170 by Jun 19
+$855
+162.9% on $525 risked
Max Profit
+$848
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$513
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$187.44
+4.41% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
77%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.35 / 2.61 / 6.91
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $144 (-20%) | +$407 | +$439 | +$466 | +$436 |
| $153 (-15%) | +$374 | +$421 | +$484 | +$492 |
| $162 (-10%) | +$318 | +$372 | +$461 | +$624 |
| $170 (-5%) โ target | +$248 | +$296 | +$384 | +$855 |
| $176 (-2%) | +$189 | +$227 | +$297 | +$500 |
| $180 (0%) โ spot | +$151 | +$181 | +$235 | +$318 |
| $183 (+2%) | +$112 | +$134 | +$168 | +$160 |
| $189 (+5%) | +$52 | +$59 | +$65 | -$35 |
| $197 (+10%) | -$48 | -$62 | -$101 | -$261 |
| $206 (+15%) | -$141 | -$174 | -$239 | -$392 |
| $215 (+20%) | -$224 | -$268 | -$343 | -$463 |
Uses ACN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.