Target Price Playground
ACN
$179.53
๐ข
ACN IV: 42.8% โ LOW
(-34.5% vs 30d avg of 65.3%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $195 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $179.53 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $170 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $9.53 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ACN hits $195 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$594 (3.1%) on $18,906 risked, vs +$1,547 (8.6%) for 100 shares on $17,953. Options give 0.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ACN is at $195. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ACN hits $195 by Jun 19
+$594
+3.1% on $18,906 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$1,906
Put floors you at $170
Break-even
$189.06
+5.31% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.36 / -9.61 / 29.21
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ACN Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $144 (-20%) | -$1,744 | -$1,834 | -$1,909 | -$1,906 |
| $153 (-15%) | -$1,501 | -$1,643 | -$1,803 | -$1,906 |
| $162 (-10%) | -$1,156 | -$1,337 | -$1,571 | -$1,906 |
| $171 (-5%) | -$704 | -$904 | -$1,171 | -$1,851 |
| $176 (-2%) | -$384 | -$584 | -$847 | -$1,312 |
| $180 (0%) โ spot | -$151 | -$348 | -$600 | -$953 |
| $183 (+2%) | +$96 | -$95 | -$331 | -$594 |
| $189 (+5%) | +$490 | +$314 | +$110 | -$55 |
| $195 (+9%) โ target | +$1,000 | +$845 | +$683 | +$594 |
| $197 (+10%) | +$1,203 | +$1,058 | +$911 | +$842 |
| $206 (+15%) | +$1,974 | +$1,861 | +$1,767 | +$1,740 |
| $215 (+20%) | +$2,786 | +$2,703 | +$2,647 | +$2,638 |
Uses ACN's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.