Target Price Playground
ADEA
$26.87
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.42 ยท ฮ 0.54
SHORT CALL ยท $29 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.67 ยท ฮ 0.32
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$125 (167.8%) on $75 risked, vs +$313 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $2,687. Options give 14.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADEA is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19
+$125
+167.8% on $75 risked
Max Profit
+$125
If the stock โฅ $29 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$75
Net debit
Break-even
$27.75
+3.26% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
21.53 / -0.16 / 0.45
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADEA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$71 | -$74 | -$75 | -$75 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$63 | -$69 | -$74 | -$75 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$49 | -$58 | -$69 | -$75 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$27 | -$36 | -$51 | -$75 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$12 | -$19 | -$32 | -$75 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$5 | -$15 | -$75 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$11 | +$9 | +$4 | -$34 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$29 | +$30 | +$33 | +$46 |
| $30 (+10%) | +$56 | +$63 | +$76 | +$125 |
| $30 (+12%) โ target | +$64 | +$72 | +$87 | +$125 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$79 | +$88 | +$104 | +$125 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$96 | +$105 | +$117 | +$125 |
Uses ADEA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.