Target Price Playground
ADEA
$26.87
Forward Projection
If price hits $26 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $27 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.54 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $26 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.88 ยท ฮ -0.35
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADEA hits $26 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$74 (110.4%) on $67 risked, vs $-87 (-3.2%) for 100 shares on $2,687. Options give 34.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADEA is at $26. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADEA hits $26 by Jun 19
+$74
+110.4% on $67 risked
Max Profit
+$70
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$67
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$27.42
+2.05% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-10.14 / 0.14 / 1.16
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADEA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | +$26 | +$27 | +$27 | +$25 |
| $23 (-15%) | +$26 | +$29 | +$30 | +$27 |
| $24 (-10%) | +$21 | +$27 | +$34 | +$35 |
| $26 (-5%) | +$13 | +$19 | +$29 | +$60 |
| $26 (-3%) โ target | +$9 | +$14 | +$24 | +$74 |
| $26 (-2%) | +$6 | +$11 | +$20 | +$54 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$1 | +$5 | +$11 | +$25 |
| $27 (+2%) | -$5 | -$2 | +$2 | +$1 |
| $28 (+5%) | -$13 | -$13 | -$13 | -$25 |
| $30 (+10%) | -$27 | -$30 | -$36 | -$51 |
| $31 (+15%) | -$40 | -$44 | -$51 | -$61 |
| $32 (+20%) | -$49 | -$53 | -$59 | -$65 |
Uses ADEA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.