Target Price Playground
ADEA
$26.87
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $27 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.42 ยท ฮ 0.54
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$158 (111.1%) on $142 risked, vs +$313 (11.6%) for 100 shares on $2,687. Options give 9.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADEA is at $30. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19
+$158
+111.1% on $142 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$142
Premium paid
Break-even
$28.42
+5.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
53.62 / -1.18 / 4.57
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADEA Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$136 | -$140 | -$142 | -$142 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$126 | -$135 | -$141 | -$142 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$102 | -$119 | -$135 | -$142 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$61 | -$86 | -$114 | -$142 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$27 | -$54 | -$88 | -$142 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$28 | -$64 | -$142 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$31 | +$2 | -$34 | -$101 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$82 | +$54 | +$21 | -$21 |
| $30 (+10%) | +$182 | +$158 | +$133 | +$114 |
| $30 (+12%) โ target | +$218 | +$195 | +$173 | +$158 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$295 | +$276 | +$259 | +$248 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$417 | +$402 | +$390 | +$382 |
Uses ADEA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.