Target Price Playground
ADEA
$26.87
Forward Projection
If price hits $30 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $26.87 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$313 (11.6%) on $2,687 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADEA hits $30 by Jun 19
+$313
+11.6% on $2,687 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,687
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$26.87
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
36%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADEA Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $22 (-20%) | -$537 | -$537 | -$537 |
| $23 (-15%) | -$403 | -$403 | -$403 |
| $24 (-10%) | -$269 | -$269 | -$269 |
| $26 (-5%) | -$134 | -$134 | -$134 |
| $26 (-2%) | -$54 | -$54 | -$54 |
| $27 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $27 (+2%) | +$54 | +$54 | +$54 |
| $28 (+5%) | +$134 | +$134 | +$134 |
| $30 (+10%) | +$269 | +$269 | +$269 |
| $30 (+12%) โ target | +$313 | +$313 | +$313 |
| $31 (+15%) | +$403 | +$403 | +$403 |
| $32 (+20%) | +$537 | +$537 | +$537 |
Uses ADEA's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.