Target Price Playground
ADI
$350.14
๐ข
ADI IV: 37.8% โ LOW
(-48.1% vs 30d avg of 72.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $390 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
SHORT CALL ยท $380 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $10.8 ยท ฮ 0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADI hits $390 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$1,770 (143.9%) on $1,230 risked, vs +$3,986 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $35,014. Options give 12.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADI is at $390. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADI hits $390 by Jun 19
+$1,770
+143.9% on $1,230 risked
Max Profit
+$1,770
If the stock โฅ $380 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$1,230
Net debit
Break-even
$362.30
+3.47% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
21.46 / -2.93 / 3.99
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $280 (-20%) | -$1,089 | -$1,165 | -$1,221 | -$1,230 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$938 | -$1,052 | -$1,181 | -$1,230 |
| $315 (-10%) | -$712 | -$843 | -$1,045 | -$1,230 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$416 | -$527 | -$738 | -$1,230 |
| $343 (-2%) | -$215 | -$294 | -$462 | -$1,230 |
| $350 (0%) โ spot | -$75 | -$128 | -$248 | -$1,216 |
| $357 (+2%) | +$67 | +$44 | -$17 | -$516 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$280 | +$302 | +$340 | +$535 |
| $385 (+10%) | +$617 | +$709 | +$885 | +$1,770 |
| $390 (+11%) โ target | +$704 | +$811 | +$1,014 | +$1,770 |
| $403 (+15%) | +$913 | +$1,050 | +$1,292 | +$1,770 |
| $420 (+20%) | +$1,156 | +$1,309 | +$1,541 | +$1,770 |
Uses ADI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.