Target Price Playground
ADI
$350.14
๐ข
ADI IV: 37.8% โ LOW
(-48.1% vs 30d avg of 72.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $335 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $24.24 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $335 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.87 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADI hits $335 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$1,163 (112.2%) on $1,037 risked, vs $-1,514 (-4.3%) for 100 shares on $35,014. Options give 26.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADI is at $335. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADI hits $335 by Jun 19
+$1,163
+112.2% on $1,037 risked
Max Profit
+$1,141
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$1,031
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$358.00
+2.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
79%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.57 / 2.04 / 15.33
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $280 (-20%) | +$373 | +$407 | +$417 | +$362 |
| $298 (-15%) | +$344 | +$410 | +$479 | +$431 |
| $315 (-10%) | +$272 | +$359 | +$494 | +$634 |
| $335 (-4%) โ target | +$135 | +$217 | +$365 | +$1,163 |
| $343 (-2%) | +$65 | +$135 | +$262 | +$684 |
| $350 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$56 | +$155 | +$332 |
| $357 (+2%) | -$68 | -$28 | +$36 | +$33 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$174 | -$160 | -$151 | -$321 |
| $385 (+10%) | -$350 | -$376 | -$445 | -$700 |
| $403 (+15%) | -$511 | -$567 | -$676 | -$894 |
| $420 (+20%) | -$649 | -$720 | -$833 | -$982 |
Uses ADI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.