Target Price Playground
ADI
$350.14
๐ข
ADI IV: 37.8% โ LOW
(-48.1% vs 30d avg of 72.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $390 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $23.1 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADI hits $390 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$1,690 (73.2%) on $2,310 risked, vs +$3,986 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $35,014. Options give 6.4ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADI is at $390. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADI hits $390 by Jun 19
+$1,690
+73.2% on $2,310 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$2,310
Premium paid
Break-even
$373.10
+6.56% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.09 / -18.23 / 58.9
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $280 (-20%) | -$2,106 | -$2,229 | -$2,301 | -$2,310 |
| $298 (-15%) | -$1,856 | -$2,074 | -$2,256 | -$2,310 |
| $315 (-10%) | -$1,433 | -$1,755 | -$2,095 | -$2,310 |
| $333 (-5%) | -$801 | -$1,205 | -$1,696 | -$2,310 |
| $343 (-2%) | -$313 | -$747 | -$1,294 | -$2,310 |
| $350 (0%) โ spot | +$57 | -$388 | -$952 | -$2,296 |
| $357 (+2%) | +$462 | +$14 | -$550 | -$1,596 |
| $368 (+5%) | +$1,131 | +$693 | +$157 | -$545 |
| $385 (+10%) | +$2,392 | +$1,997 | +$1,560 | +$1,205 |
| $390 (+11%) โ target | +$2,770 | +$2,392 | +$1,986 | +$1,690 |
| $403 (+15%) | +$3,807 | +$3,474 | +$3,150 | +$2,956 |
| $420 (+20%) | +$5,336 | +$5,067 | +$4,837 | +$4,707 |
Uses ADI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.