Target Price Playground
ADI
$350.14
๐ข
ADI IV: 37.8% โ LOW
(-48.1% vs 30d avg of 72.9%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $310 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $350 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $21.7 ยท ฮ -0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADI hits $310 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$1,830 (84.3%) on $2,170 risked, vs $-4,014 (-11.5%) for 100 shares on $35,014. Options give 7.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADI is at $310. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADI hits $310 by Jun 19
+$1,830
+84.3% on $2,170 risked
Max Profit
+$32,830
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$2,170
Premium paid
Break-even
$328.30
-6.24% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
47%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-45.25 / -16.1 / 58.92
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $280 (-20%) | +$4,735 | +$4,707 | +$4,729 | +$4,819 |
| $298 (-15%) | +$3,234 | +$3,110 | +$3,023 | +$3,068 |
| $310 (-11%) โ target | +$2,275 | +$2,077 | +$1,880 | +$1,830 |
| $315 (-10%) | +$1,906 | +$1,679 | +$1,433 | +$1,317 |
| $333 (-5%) | +$789 | +$478 | +$82 | -$433 |
| $343 (-2%) | +$225 | -$115 | -$567 | -$1,484 |
| $350 (0%) โ spot | -$105 | -$455 | -$925 | -$2,170 |
| $357 (+2%) | -$400 | -$753 | -$1,223 | -$2,170 |
| $368 (+5%) | -$782 | -$1,126 | -$1,567 | -$2,170 |
| $385 (+10%) | -$1,271 | -$1,571 | -$1,914 | -$2,170 |
| $403 (+15%) | -$1,607 | -$1,846 | -$2,075 | -$2,170 |
| $420 (+20%) | -$1,829 | -$2,004 | -$2,139 | -$2,170 |
Uses ADI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.