Target Price Playground
ADSK
$218.45
๐ข
ADSK IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-45.0% vs 30d avg of 76.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $210 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $220 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $20.0 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $210 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $13.6 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADSK hits $210 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$978 (152.8%) on $640 risked, vs $-845 (-3.9%) for 100 shares on $21,845. Options give 39.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADSK is at $210. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADSK hits $210 by Jun 19
+$978
+152.8% on $640 risked
Max Profit
+$962
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$615
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$231.46
+5.96% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
83%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-8.04 / 2.15 / 8.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $175 (-20%) | +$312 | +$340 | +$354 | +$307 |
| $186 (-15%) | +$294 | +$341 | +$396 | +$368 |
| $197 (-10%) | +$252 | +$311 | +$406 | +$515 |
| $208 (-5%) | +$185 | +$244 | +$350 | +$803 |
| $210 (-4%) โ target | +$167 | +$223 | +$327 | +$892 |
| $214 (-2%) | +$135 | +$186 | +$281 | +$652 |
| $218 (0%) โ spot | +$98 | +$142 | +$222 | +$423 |
| $223 (+2%) | +$59 | +$95 | +$155 | +$224 |
| $229 (+5%) | -$1 | +$19 | +$47 | -$21 |
| $240 (+10%) | -$105 | -$111 | -$136 | -$307 |
| $251 (+15%) | -$205 | -$233 | -$296 | -$473 |
| $262 (+20%) | -$297 | -$340 | -$419 | -$562 |
Uses ADSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.