Target Price Playground
ADSK
$218.45
๐ข
ADSK IV: 41.8% โ LOW
(-45.0% vs 30d avg of 76.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $245 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $220 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $15.38 ยท ฮ 0.55
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ADSK hits $245 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$962 (62.5%) on $1,538 risked, vs +$2,655 (12.2%) for 100 shares on $21,845. Options give 5.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ADSK is at $245. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ADSK hits $245 by Jun 19
+$962
+62.5% on $1,538 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$1,538
Premium paid
Break-even
$235.38
+7.75% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
50%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
55.03 / -13.24 / 36.98
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ADSK Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $175 (-20%) | -$1,349 | -$1,455 | -$1,526 | -$1,538 |
| $186 (-15%) | -$1,165 | -$1,334 | -$1,485 | -$1,538 |
| $197 (-10%) | -$879 | -$1,112 | -$1,365 | -$1,538 |
| $208 (-5%) | -$475 | -$759 | -$1,105 | -$1,538 |
| $214 (-2%) | -$173 | -$477 | -$860 | -$1,538 |
| $218 (0%) โ spot | +$52 | -$259 | -$656 | -$1,538 |
| $223 (+2%) | +$297 | -$18 | -$419 | -$1,256 |
| $229 (+5%) | +$699 | +$385 | -$5 | -$601 |
| $240 (+10%) | +$1,452 | +$1,159 | +$819 | +$492 |
| $245 (+12%) โ target | +$1,805 | +$1,525 | +$1,214 | +$962 |
| $251 (+15%) | +$2,295 | +$2,036 | +$1,766 | +$1,584 |
| $262 (+20%) | +$3,209 | +$2,990 | +$2,788 | +$2,676 |
Uses ADSK's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.