Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 58.8% โ LOW
(-44.7% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.52 ยท ฮ 0.57
SHORT CALL ยท $67 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.5 ยท ฮ 0.44
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $70 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$298 (147.9%) on $202 risked, vs +$781 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 11.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $70 by Jun 19
+$298
+147.9% on $202 risked
Max Profit
+$298
If the stock โฅ $67 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$202
Net debit
Break-even
$64.02
+2.94% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
12.31 / -0.05 / -0.05
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$137 | -$157 | -$184 | -$202 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$108 | -$128 | -$161 | -$202 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$75 | -$91 | -$124 | -$202 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$38 | -$48 | -$72 | -$202 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$16 | -$21 | -$36 | -$202 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$3 | -$11 | -$183 |
| $63 (+2%) | +$15 | +$16 | +$15 | -$59 |
| $65 (+5%) | +$38 | +$44 | +$54 | +$128 |
| $68 (+10%) | +$74 | +$88 | +$115 | +$298 |
| $70 (+13%) โ target | +$92 | +$109 | +$143 | +$298 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$108 | +$129 | +$167 | +$298 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$139 | +$164 | +$209 | +$298 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.