Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 55.9% โ LOW
(-47.4% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $55 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bearish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.82 ยท ฮ -0.43
SHORT PUT ยท $57 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.51 ยท ฮ -0.31
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bear Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $55 by Jun 19: the bear put spread returns +$269 (116.3%) on $231 risked, vs $-719 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 10.0ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $55 by Jun 19
+$269
+116.3% on $231 risked
Max Profit
+$269
If the stock โค $57 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$231
Net debit
Break-even
$59.69
-4.02% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-12.6 / -0.37 / 1.12
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$160 | +$180 | +$215 | +$269 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$122 | +$137 | +$169 | +$269 |
| $55 (-12%) โ target | +$95 | +$105 | +$128 | +$269 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$82 | +$89 | +$107 | +$269 |
| $59 (-5%) | +$40 | +$39 | +$38 | +$61 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$16 | +$9 | -$4 | -$126 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$10 | -$30 | -$231 |
| $63 (+2%) | -$15 | -$29 | -$55 | -$231 |
| $65 (+5%) | -$38 | -$55 | -$90 | -$231 |
| $68 (+10%) | -$72 | -$95 | -$137 | -$231 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$102 | -$128 | -$172 | -$231 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$127 | -$155 | -$196 | -$231 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.