Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 58.8% โ LOW
(-44.7% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $59 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.87 ยท ฮ -0.42
SHORT PUT ยท $59 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $4.35 ยท ฮ -0.36
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $59 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$293 (116.3%) on $252 risked, vs $-319 (-5.1%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 22.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $59. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $59 by Jun 19
+$293
+116.3% on $252 risked
Max Profit
+$290
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$229
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$65.48
+5.3% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
84%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.5 / 0.6 / 2.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$49 | +$64 | +$80 | +$64 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$43 | +$63 | +$92 | +$109 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$33 | +$54 | +$92 | +$184 |
| $59 (-5%) โ target | +$19 | +$39 | +$77 | +$293 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$8 | +$26 | +$60 | +$187 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$16 | +$47 | +$128 |
| $63 (+2%) | -$9 | +$6 | +$32 | +$75 |
| $65 (+5%) | -$22 | -$10 | +$8 | +$6 |
| $68 (+10%) | -$45 | -$40 | -$36 | -$83 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$68 | -$70 | -$80 | -$145 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$91 | -$99 | -$119 | -$186 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.