Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 58.8% โ LOW
(-44.7% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $55 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.82 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $55 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$118 (20.3%) on $582 risked, vs $-719 (-11.6%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $55. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $55 by Jun 19
+$118
+20.3% on $582 risked
Max Profit
+$5,618
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$582
Premium paid
Break-even
$56.18
-9.66% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
64%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-43.23 / -4.17 / 10.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$745 | +$695 | +$650 | +$643 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$519 | +$451 | +$376 | +$332 |
| $55 (-12%) โ target | +$379 | +$299 | +$204 | +$118 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$320 | +$235 | +$131 | +$21 |
| $59 (-5%) | +$147 | +$51 | -$74 | -$290 |
| $61 (-2%) | +$55 | -$45 | -$178 | -$477 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$102 | -$237 | -$582 |
| $63 (+2%) | -$52 | -$155 | -$290 | -$582 |
| $65 (+5%) | -$123 | -$225 | -$359 | -$582 |
| $68 (+10%) | -$223 | -$322 | -$444 | -$582 |
| $72 (+15%) | -$305 | -$395 | -$500 | -$582 |
| $75 (+20%) | -$369 | -$450 | -$535 | -$582 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.