Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 58.8% โ LOW
(-44.7% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $72 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.52 ยท ฮ 0.57
LONG PUT ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.82 ยท ฮ -0.43
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $72 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-234 (-18.9%) on $1,234 risked, vs +$981 (15.8%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 1.2ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $72. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $72 by Jun 19
$-234
-18.9% on $1,234 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,234
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$74.34
+19.53% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
53%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
13.53 / -9.09 / 20.95
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | +$245 | +$130 | +$23 | -$9 |
| $53 (-15%) | +$106 | -$48 | -$215 | -$320 |
| $56 (-10%) | +$17 | -$168 | -$393 | -$631 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$17 | -$226 | -$493 | -$942 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$13 | -$230 | -$513 | -$1,129 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$221 | -$508 | -$1,215 |
| $63 (+2%) | +$20 | -$202 | -$490 | -$1,091 |
| $65 (+5%) | +$65 | -$156 | -$440 | -$904 |
| $68 (+10%) | +$175 | -$38 | -$299 | -$593 |
| $72 (+16%) โ target | +$350 | +$154 | -$65 | -$234 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$505 | +$327 | +$140 | +$29 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.