Target Price Playground
AGYS
$62.19
๐ข
AGYS IV: 55.9% โ LOW
(-47.4% vs 30d avg of 106.4%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $62 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.52 ยท ฮ 0.57
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AGYS hits $70 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$148 (22.7%) on $652 risked, vs +$781 (12.6%) for 100 shares on $6,219. Options give 1.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AGYS is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AGYS hits $70 by Jun 19
+$148
+22.7% on $652 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$652
Premium paid
Break-even
$68.52
+10.18% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
62%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.77 / -4.92 / 10.48
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AGYS Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50 (-20%) | -$499 | -$566 | -$627 | -$652 |
| $53 (-15%) | -$414 | -$499 | -$591 | -$652 |
| $56 (-10%) | -$302 | -$403 | -$524 | -$652 |
| $59 (-5%) | -$164 | -$277 | -$419 | -$652 |
| $61 (-2%) | -$69 | -$186 | -$335 | -$652 |
| $62 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$119 | -$271 | -$633 |
| $63 (+2%) | +$72 | -$47 | -$200 | -$509 |
| $65 (+5%) | +$188 | +$69 | -$81 | -$322 |
| $68 (+10%) | +$399 | +$284 | +$145 | -$11 |
| $70 (+13%) โ target | +$514 | +$402 | +$272 | +$148 |
| $72 (+15%) | +$628 | +$521 | +$400 | +$300 |
| $75 (+20%) | +$875 | +$777 | +$676 | +$611 |
Uses AGYS's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.