Target Price Playground
AI
$8.28
๐ข
AI IV: 71.2% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 109.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $10 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Moderately bullish. Debit, capped max profit + loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.85 ยท ฮ 0.53
SHORT CALL ยท $9 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.66 ยท ฮ 0.45
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Bull Call Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AI hits $10 by Jun 19: the bull call spread returns +$31 (165.7%) on $19 risked, vs +$122 (14.7%) for 100 shares on $828. Options give 11.3ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AI is at $10. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AI hits $10 by Jun 19
+$31
+165.7% on $19 risked
Max Profit
+$31
If the stock โฅ $9 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$19
Net debit
Break-even
$8.69
+4.93% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
8.22 / -0.01 / 0.01
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 (-20%) | -$12 | -$14 | -$17 | -$19 |
| $7 (-15%) | -$10 | -$12 | -$15 | -$19 |
| $7 (-10%) | -$7 | -$8 | -$12 | -$19 |
| $8 (-5%) | -$4 | -$5 | -$7 | -$19 |
| $8 (-2%) | -$2 | -$2 | -$4 | -$19 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$1 | -$2 | -$19 |
| $8 (+2%) | +$1 | +$1 | +$0 | -$19 |
| $9 (+5%) | +$3 | +$4 | +$4 | -$0 |
| $9 (+10%) | +$7 | +$8 | +$10 | +$31 |
| $10 (+15%) โ target | +$10 | +$11 | +$14 | +$31 |
| $10 (+20%) | +$13 | +$15 | +$19 | +$31 |
Uses AI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.