Target Price Playground
AI
$8.28
๐ข
AI IV: 71.2% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 109.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $9 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Sell OTM put for premium; get assigned if price drops.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
SHORT PUT ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.51 ยท ฮ -0.3
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Cash-Secured Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AI hits $9 by Jun 19: the cash-secured put returns +$51 (7.3%) on $-51 credit (max loss $699), vs +$22 (2.7%) for 100 shares on $828. Options give 2.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AI is at $9. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AI hits $9 by Jun 19
+$51
+7.3% on $699 max loss
Max Profit
+$51
If the stock โฅ $8 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$699
If stock โ $0 after assignment
Break-even
$6.99
-15.55% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
92%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
29.95 / 0.56 / -1.23
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 (-20%) | -$74 | -$63 | -$50 | -$37 |
| $7 (-15%) | -$50 | -$37 | -$21 | +$5 |
| $7 (-10%) | -$30 | -$17 | +$1 | +$46 |
| $8 (-5%) | -$13 | +$0 | +$19 | +$51 |
| $8 (-2%) | -$5 | +$9 | +$26 | +$51 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$14 | +$30 | +$51 |
| $9 (+3%) โ target | +$6 | +$19 | +$35 | +$51 |
| $9 (+5%) | +$11 | +$24 | +$39 | +$51 |
| $9 (+10%) | +$20 | +$32 | +$44 | +$51 |
| $10 (+15%) | +$27 | +$37 | +$47 | +$51 |
| $10 (+20%) | +$33 | +$42 | +$49 | +$51 |
Uses AI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.