Target Price Playground
AI
$8.28
๐ข
AI IV: 71.2% โ LOW
(-35.1% vs 30d avg of 109.8%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $8 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $9 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $1.15 ยท ฮ -0.45
SHORT PUT ยท $8 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $0.73 ยท ฮ -0.38
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If AI hits $8 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$43 (101.3%) on $42 risked, vs $-28 (-3.4%) for 100 shares on $828. Options give 29.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if AI is at $8. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if AI hits $8 by Jun 19
+$43
+101.3% on $42 risked
Max Profit
+$42
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$35
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$8.91
+7.64% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
90%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-6.7 / 0.1 / 0.32
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| AI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $7 (-20%) | +$7 | +$10 | +$12 | +$10 |
| $7 (-15%) | +$6 | +$9 | +$14 | +$16 |
| $7 (-10%) | +$5 | +$8 | +$14 | +$25 |
| $8 (-5%) | +$3 | +$6 | +$12 | +$38 |
| $8 (-3%) โ target | +$2 | +$5 | +$11 | +$43 |
| $8 (-2%) | +$1 | +$4 | +$10 | +$37 |
| $8 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$3 | +$8 | +$28 |
| $8 (+2%) | -$1 | +$2 | +$6 | +$19 |
| $9 (+5%) | -$3 | -$1 | +$3 | +$9 |
| $9 (+10%) | -$6 | -$5 | -$3 | -$6 |
| $10 (+15%) | -$9 | -$9 | -$9 | -$17 |
| $10 (+20%) | -$12 | -$13 | -$15 | -$25 |
Uses AI's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.